Weak Feedback And Denial Are Killing Active Management

The Journal of Portfolio Management | February 2024

Written by Michael A. Ervolini

Weak Feedback And Denial Are Killing Active Management: A Slow Death Perhaps But One That Is Avoidable

Article Abstract

It’s been over a decade since the introduction of analytics that effectively quantify manager skill. Yet there is little evidence that these enhanced metrics are being used by active equity managers, based on the general results of funds versus their benchmarks. Initially it was believed that most managers would eagerly adopt these enhanced analytics and learn to be more self-aware and improve. This belief proved to be overly optimistic. Hundreds of interviews with equity professionals indicates a second roadblock to the much needed turnaround across active management – this one being denial. And while resistance to change is perfectly understandable it is undermining the active management industry. The paper argues that both weak feedback and individual denial are co-contributors to the industry’s lackluster results.

Three Key Takeaways:

1.

Weak feedback long has been a significant impediment to equity managers learning and improving. Newer analytics introduced over the past decade have vastly improved the quality of information now available to managers.

2.

Nevertheless, active equities as a whole continue to struggle. It’s now clear that in addition to the once analytic shortcomings holding back manager success there is also the issue of widespread denial.

3.

One new analytic that can help managers improve is the analytic

assessment of their information advantage. This analytic provides a clear quantification of the alpha generating capacity of the fund’s average new buy.

Michael Ervolini headshot

MICHAEL A. ERVOLINI, AUTHOR

The ideas expressed on this website are developed and/or curated by Michael Ervolini. Mike has spent his entire 35+ year career leading efforts to improve and strengthen active management.

RESOURCES

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JUDGMENT

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PROCESS

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BEHAVIORS

WEAK FEEDBACK AND DENIAL ARE KILLING ACTIVE MANAGEMENT

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The multi-trillion dollar active management industry is predicated on the idea that managers have skill – yet little is known about it – Who has skill? How is it measured? This website is dedicated to finding answers to the questions surrounding skill.


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