When Buying Low And Selling High Destroy Alpha

Article Forthcoming in Journal of Investing | May 2024

Written by Michael A. Ervolini and Andrew R. Tuttle

When Buying Low and Selling High Destroy Alpha: Visualizing The Interplay Amongst Judgment, Process, and Prospect Theory

Article Abstract

Evidence of the disposition effect and its negative impacts on equity funds is well established. Many managers continue to sell winners too quickly and hold on to losers too long. Efforts to eliminate these and other behavioral tendencies appear to be limited in their impact. Weak feedback regarding which decisions are helping generate excess returns and which aren’t is a major stumbling block that inhibits such improvement efforts. So too is the resistance to change frequently present when change is unconsciously perceived as more risky than the status quo. This paper argues that the use of newer analytics, in particular the vivid visualizations of manager decisions with individual holdings, can greatly increase the odds that a manager will develop greater self-awareness and actually improve.

Three Key Takeaways:

1.

Confirmation of behavioral tendencies such as the disposition effect have existed for decades. Yet, there is scant evidence that knowledge of these tendencies has impacted equity manager decisions or fund results.

2.

Looming largest amongst the reasons many managers have trouble eliminating behavioral tendencies and improving generally are: the lack of rigorous feedback about which decisions add alpha and which destroy it, and succumbing to emotional needs that are in conflict with learning. 

3.

Visualizations reflecting each action taken by a manager on individual holdings, in conjunction with rigorous and granular fund-level analytics, can enable managers to overcome unproductive behavioral tendencies.

{{brizy_dc_image_alt imageSrc=

MICHAEL A. ERVOLINI, AUTHOR

The ideas expressed on this website are developed and/or curated by Michael Ervolini. Mike has spent his entire 35+ year career leading efforts to improve and strengthen active management.

RESOURCES

MOST POPULAR ARTICLES

{{brizy_dc_image_alt imageSrc=

JUDGEMENT

WHEN BUYING LOW AND SELLING HIGH DESTROY ALPHA

{{brizy_dc_image_alt imageSrc=

PROCESS

ACTIVE MANAGEMENT - TAKE DOWN THE WHITE FLAG

{{brizy_dc_image_alt imageSrc=

BEHAVIORS

WEAK FEEDBACK AND DENIAL ARE KILLING ACTIVE MANAGEMENT

Continue improving with our newest investment insights & articles.

Subscribe to receive our latest articles and news updates

SIGN UP FOR FREE

By clicking "Sign up" you agree to our Terms of Service.

{{brizy_dc_image_alt imageSrc=

The multi-trillion dollar active management industry is predicated on the idea that managers have skill – yet little is known about it – Who has skill? How is it measured? This website is dedicated to finding answers to the questions surrounding skill.


SKILL VERSUS LUCK © COPYRIGHT 2026

Discover more from Skill Versus Luck

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading